Modeling U.S. and EU Agricultural Policy:
Focus on Decoupled Payments
October 4-5, 2004

Opening remarks:
Neil Conklin, ERS
Steve Halbrook, Farm Foundation

Session I: Overview and Background of Decoupled and Partially Decoupled Payments
Moderator: David Kelch, ERS
Domestic Support and the WTO, Joseph Glauber, Deputy Chief Economist, USDA
Overview of the 2002 Farm Act and U.S. Program Payments: Modeling Issues and Challenges, Paul Westcott, ERS
Overview of the 2003 CAP Reform and EU Decoupled Payments, Wolfgang Munch, Directorate General Agriculture, European Commission

Session II: Review of Research, Key Findings and Issues
Moderator: Mary Bohman, ERS
Review of Empirical Studies on the Production Impacts of PFC and MLA Payments Under the U.S. FAIR Act, David Abler and David Blandford, Penn State University
Analysis of Decoupled Subsidies, Neilson Conklin and Mary E. Burfisher, ERS
Research on the EU Direct Payment Schemes, 2003 CAP Reform: Key Findings and Research Issues, Pierre Bascou, Pierluigi Londero and Wolfgang Munch, European Commission
What (if anything) Do Countercyclical Payments Do?, David Skully, ERS, Supporting Paper

Session III Decoupled Policies in Models of U.S. Agriculture
Moderator: Paul Westcott, ERS
Are "Decoupled" Farm Program Payments Really Decoupled? An Empirical Evaluation, Barry Goodwin, North Carolina State University, and Ashok Mishra, ERS, Supporting Paper
Do Direct Payments Have Intertemporal Effects on U.S. Agriculture?, Agapi Somwaru, ERS, Terry Roe, University of Minnesota, and Xinshen Diao, IFPRI
FAPRI Modeling of Farm Program Impacts on U.S. Area Planted, Pat Westhoff, FAPRI, University of Missouri

Session IV: Decoupled Policies in Models of EU Agriculture
Moderator: Aziz Elbehri, ERS
Modeling Supply and Land Allocation Responses to EU Payments, Paolo Sckokai, Universita Cattolica, Piacenza, Italy
Analyzing Decoupling with GTAP: The 2003 CAP Reform, Piero Conforti, FAO, Rome
Modeling the Introduction of Decoupled Payments in the EU: An Example, Julian Binfield, FAPRI, University of Missouri

Session V: Issues in Modeling Decoupled Payments
Moderator: Richard Stillman, ERS
Modeling Farm Decoupled Payments: Comparisons of Partial and General Equilibrium Evaluations, Alex Gohin, Institute National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA) Rennes, France
Risk Considerations in U.S. Supply Response, William Lin and Robert Dismukes, ERS
Future Research on Decoupled Payments: New Modeling Directions and Data Needs, Ed Young, ERS

Session VI: Wrap-up, Assessment and Priorities for Future Research
Moderator: Neilson Conklin, ERS
Panel:
Wolfgang Munch, European Commission
David Abler, Penn State University
Mary Bohman, ERS